Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000062 0.000065 0.000068 0.000071 0.000075 0.000079 0.000083
2025-02-16 0.000058 0.000062 0.000067 0.000072 0.000078 0.000084 0.000092
2025-02-23 0.000057 0.000062 0.000068 0.000075 0.000083 0.000093 0.000104
2025-03-02 0.000053 0.000059 0.000066 0.000073 0.000083 0.000094 0.000108
2025-03-09 0.000050 0.000056 0.000063 0.000071 0.000082 0.000094 0.000111
2025-03-16 0.000048 0.000055 0.000062 0.000071 0.000082 0.000097 0.000116
2025-03-23 0.000048 0.000054 0.000062 0.000072 0.000085 0.000102 0.000125
2025-03-30 0.000046 0.000053 0.000061 0.000071 0.000085 0.000103 0.000129
2025-04-06 0.000044 0.000050 0.000058 0.000069 0.000083 0.000101 0.000128
2025-04-13 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000066 0.000080 0.000098 0.000126
2025-04-20 0.000039 0.000046 0.000053 0.000064 0.000077 0.000096 0.000124
2025-04-27 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000062 0.000076 0.000095 0.000125
2025-05-04 0.000037 0.000044 0.000052 0.000063 0.000078 0.000099 0.000132
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000043 0.000052 0.000063 0.000080 0.000103 0.000142
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000066 0.000085 0.000112 0.000160
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000065 0.000083 0.000112 0.000162
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000063 0.000082 0.000111 0.000162
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000063 0.000082 0.000113 0.000169
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000085 0.000118 0.000182
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000063 0.000084 0.000119 0.000187
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000061 0.000082 0.000116 0.000185
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000079 0.000112 0.000179
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000076 0.000109 0.000175